Week 3 Picks

Last week 8-8

Season: 12-20

Browns (-4.5) over Steelers

After giving us Josh Allen vs Matt Stafford and Patrick Mahomes vs Justin Herbert in back-to-back weeks, the NFL brings the Thursday Night Football momentum to a screeching halt with a battle between two bottom-five starting QBs, Mitch Trubisky and Jacoby Brissett. It’s hard to get excited about Pittsburgh until they make the switch to Kenny Pickett at QB and/or get TJ Watt back. Cleveland with the home edge by a score.

Texans (+3) over Bears

I don’t know if tying with the Colts and narrowly losing to the Broncos is a flex but I expect the Texans to remain competitive enough with a Bears team still finding its footing offensively to cover.

Raiders (-2.5) over Titans

The Raiders are better than their 0-2 record. The Titans are not.

Chiefs (-5.5) over Colts

The bright side for the Colts is, after this, they get Tennessee at home, @Denver, a rematch with the Jags at home and then Tennessee again. Frank Reich doesn’t emerge .500 or better from that stretch, it’s over for him.

Dolphins (+4.5) over Bills

Riding a 2-0 start and a 6 TD game from Tua, the Dolphins have enough going for them to keep it close at home against the best team in the AFC. Bills by a field goal.

Lions (+5) over Vikings

The Lions have quietly scored 71 points in the first two games and Jared Goff is playing the best football of his pro career. Detroit with the upset.

Ravens (-2.5) over Patriots

New England doesn’t have enough on O to keep up with Lamar Jackson or enough on D to stop him. Ravens win it going away.

Jets (+6) over Bengals

Cincy is 0-2 vs Mitch Trubisky and Cooper Rush. Joe Flacco is better than both of those guys and this Jets team is feisty. Until the Bengals can protect Joe Burrow, it’s hard to see them covering anything over a three-point spread.

Eagles (-6.5) over Commanders

Carson Wentz is having a career resurgence after being thrown out of Philly and Indy in back to back seasons, but the Eagles are too well-rounded to lose to a Commanders team that could easily be 0-2 right now.

Saints (-2.5) over Panthers

Despite their offensive weaponry, the Saints haven’t been much to write home about but this Panthers team finds ways to lose close games.

Jaguars (+3) over Chargers

With potentially no Justin Herbert suiting up for the Chargers and the rest of the division in tough games, this is a golden opportunity for the Jags to add to their AFC South lead.

Rams (-3.5) over Cardinals

Rams have too much on both sides of the ball to fall prey to the Kyler Murray magic show.

Falcons (+1) over Seahawks

This could either way but hopefully it ends with DK Metcalf and Kyle Pitts finds their respective ways off the milk carton.

Niners (-1.5) over Broncos

The $245 million Denver gave Russell Wilson might go down as the worst contract in the history of football.

Cowboys (+1) over Giants

Don’t let the stench of a Daniel Jones-Cooper Rush prime time showdown distract you from the star power of Micah Parsons and finally getting to see what Giants rookie Kayvon Thibodeaux can do.