Sunday, November 15, 2009

Week 10 Picks, cont.

Week 10 got started early, and I (Gabe) got a much needed boost for his season record by correctly picking the San Francisco 49er's in Thursday night's NFL Network game.

Last week was not good again for the two of us, Dave went 7-6 and I lost even more ground to him by going 5-8.

Let's look at this week's games:

Jacksonville (+7) at N.Y. Jets

Gabe: N.Y. Jets - Jacksonville barely beat Kansas City last week. The Jets are coming off a bye and playing at home. Jacksonville has zero pass defense. I think the extra week of practice will do Mark Sanchez some good. Jets by 9.

Dave: Jags - I don't know if Mark Sanchez can play well enough in the cold weather of New Jersey to justify making them 7-point favorites. Remember, the Jets' run D misses Kris Jenkins and they get to go up against the man known as Pocket Hercules, Maurice Jones-Drew. The Jags have been god-awful, so I'm not taking them for the outright win, but I say they lose by 4.

Denver (-3.5) at Washington

Gabe: Denver - The Broncos have lost two in a row after starting the season 6-0. Where do losing streaks go to die? That's right, Washington. The Broncos are looking to get back to winning. The 'Skins are going to try to keep the Denver offense off of the field. I think the difference will be Champ Bailey rising up and playing well in his old home for the first time since he was traded. Denver by 6.

Dave: Denver - A team already missing half its offensive line is now without its best offensive weapon in Clinton Portis, who I think should milk this concussion into a IR stint to avoid being around this pile of excrement known as the Redskins. Fresh off two straight losses, I think Denver revenge-bangs the Skins here. Broncos by 17.

Cincinnati (+7) at Pittsburgh

Gabe: Cincinnati - Cincinnati is for real and are playing tough for the first time in decades. Cedric Benson has been playing well, but I don't think he will against Pittsburgh. I think this is going to be a tough, hard-fought game. I think Cincinnati could win outright, but I take Pittsburgh to win by a late FG.

Dave: Pittsburgh - Chad Ochocinco pranked the Ravens last week by sending deoderant and got away with it when his team beat Baltimore 17-7. He tried a similar trick this week but his attempt to send mustard to the Steelers got shut down by Marvin Lewis. Eventually, the Bengals have to run into a bad week and the Steelers have to prove why their the defending champs. I think both of those happen today. Steelers by 10.

Buffalo (+8.5) at Tennessee

Gabe: Tennessee - I think Chris Johnson will be huge in this game. Buffalo has a good secondary so the Titans will lean on CJ and LenDale White. I don't think the Bills can do much on offense. CJ runs for 2 TD's and that will be the winning margin.

Dave: Tennessee - If I would have told you in August, we would see historically horrid performances from Buffalo, Washington, Oakland, St. Louis, Detroit, Kansas City and Tampa Bay and, after 9 games, not one coach would get fired, would you believe me? Buffalo might be the worst of the bunch. The T.O. move was every bit the disaster we forecasted and now the league's worst run defense faces the league's top rusher. I think CJ and Last Call LenDale White run the train on this Buffalo D to the tune of two scores a piece. I also think, with Darren Sharper out, Jairus Byrd takes sole possession of the NFL INT lead with 2 picks here. Titans by 13.

Detroit (+16.5) at Minnesota

Gabe: Minnesota - Just when I thought the Lions might at least put up a fight they lost by 12 to the dreadful Seahawks. Minnesota will run all over them. I think the Vikings will be up 3 TD's by halftime and will not cover only if the let off the gas in the second half. Vikings by 21.

Dave: Detroit - Yeah, I know, the Vikings are coming off a bye. Yes, the Lions choked up a 17 point lead to Seattle last week. Yes, the Vikings are at home. Look, the Lions are a scrappy team when The Big Three is together and Matt Stafford isn't going to have another disaster like his 5-INT nightmare last week. Vikings still win this one, but I feel weird with such a high spread given the fact that the Lions led for the entire first half the last time these two played and there's nobody on Minnesota to cover Calvin Johnson. Vikes by 14.

New Orleans (-14) at St. Louis

Gabe: New Orleans - How's this sound? Drew Brees throws 4 TD's in the first half, then the Saints give the ball to Pierre Thomas over and over. (My big money fantasy team would love that.) I think that is exactly what will happen. St. Louis will put up some points because the Saints will be without Darren Sharper, but in the end New Orleans wins by at least 20.

Dave: Saints - Drew Brees will further solidify by MVP pick and spread it like Kim Kardashian at a 50 Cent concert. Speaking of Kardashians, Kim's property, Reggie Bush, touches paydirt this week(Side note: Would there be a funnier reality show than VH1 following For The Love of Ray J with Sloppy Seconds starring Reggie Bush, where Reggie goes on a date with whichever skank Ray J votes off the previous week and attempts to smash her. At least he has a better chance of scoring than he already does on Sundays, right?) Saints by 17.

Atlanta (-1.5) at Carolina

Gabe: Atlanta - Carolina still stinks. DeAngelo Williams is playing, but is hurt. Jake Delhomme still sucks. Atlanta always plays well when they need a win. They need one this week, and will get it, by 7.

Dave: Atlanta - Falcons are playing for a wild card spot and the Panthers two-man offense is banged up. Falcons romp in this one and I'm betting even money that Steve Smith slugs Jake Delhomme by halftime after his third pick-6.

Tampa Bay (+10) at Miami

Gabe: Miami - Tampa Bay blew their load last week. No one knew what to expect from new QB Josh Freeman. Miami's Wildcat will do well against the Bucs. Miami by 14.

Dave: Dolphins - It will be hard for Tampa Bay to repeat last week's performance when they have to face a team with five living, breathing offensive linemen. Bucs go back to being doormats. Freeman joins the 5-INT club with his other rookie QB brethren and the Miami J.Los win by 14.

Kansas City (+2) at Oakland

Gabe: Oakland - This game is going to suck, but at least Oakland plays defense. Kansas City hasn't played any offense all year, with or without GrandMama. Oakland holds KC's offense in check and does just enough to cover. Oakland by 3.

Dave: Kansas City - I believe in karma and find it hard to believe things won't bounce their way for a team that waved bye-bye to one chick beater facing a team coached by another Chris Brown All-Star. Chiefs pull off the "upset", if you want to call it that, and the world gets introduced to Lance Long. KC by 6.

Seattle (+8.5) at Arizona

Gabe: Arizona - Seattle flat-out stinks. Arizona is at home and will move the ball early and often through the air. Arizona will win by double digits.

Dave: Seattle - The Seahawks are healthier than they've been all season. The Cardinals tend to have off-weeks, especially at home. Do I see an upset? No. Do I see Seattle keeping it close and losing on an Olindo Mare missed FG? Sure.

Philadelphia (pk) at San Diego

Gabe: Chargers - The Eagles didn't play well the last time they went to the west coast. The Chargers are playing very well right now and the Eagles are not. Chargers by 7.

Dave: Chargers - Being forced to pick between Norv Turner or Andy Reid is like being forced into picking out a Tyler Perry movie to watch. You know it's going to be hard on your eyes but the mediocrity of it all might make it somewhat entertaining and funny, albeit drastically stereotypical. Chargers are at home, so I'll take them.

Dallas (-3) at Green Bay

Gabe: Dallas - Aaron Rodgers is going to be very familiar with DeMarcus Ware by the end of this game. Dallas wins by 6.

Dave: Cowboys - I don't want to talk about this game. I'm already preparing for the draft. COME ON, ANTHONY DAVIS!

New England (+2.5) at Indianapolis

Gabe: New England - The Colts have been skating all season. Their secondary is in shambles and Tom Brady will be able to take advantage of this. I can't believe the Pats are not favored in this game. Pats by 6.

Dave: Patriots - Inevitably, this Colts team has to come down to earth. The supporting cast on O is adequate but unspectacular and the secondary is more beat up than a Tom Cable dinner date and have to face off against Randy Moss and Wes Welker. Not to mention, you have to think Tom Brady is pissed about how the tables have turned between his "rivalry" with Peyton and is looking to come out firing. Pats give Indy the first L and snap the Peyton Manning Night Game streak.

Baltimore (+10.5) at Cleveland

Gabe: Cleveland - The Browns stink and are starting Brady Quinn in a move to sell tickets for Monday Night Football. The Ravens have not been playing well lately. I think Baltimore will win, but it will be by less than 11, more like by 7.

Dave: Baltimore - I have to explain this one? Really?

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