Sunday, September 26, 2010

Week 3 Picks

Big time bounceback week for Dave, who went 9-7 in Week 2 while Gabe collapsed like Lindsay Lohan with a putrid 5-11. Anyway, here's our take on Week 3. Lines brought to you by Danny Sheridan of USA Today.


Last Week: Dave(9-7), Gabe(5-11)


Season: Dave(16-14-2), Gabe(14-16-2)


Titans(+3) at Giants


Dave: Giants - Like any team facing Tennessee, this comes down to "Can you stop Chris Johnson?". We know Jeff Fisher isn't going to put Vince Young, the QB who he clearly was never enamored with, in a position to make plays throwing the ball against this mean Giants pass rush. So, we'll be looking at A LOT of touches for C.J. Giants need to make up for getting embarressed by Indy last week and I think they come out firing here. Besides, I'll believe Tennessee is more than just an average bunch that beats up on lightweights when they pull off a big win. I like the Giants by 6.


Gabe: Giants - The Giants are going to be looking to bounce back after getting rolled by the Colts on national TV. They'll get CJ2K get his and make Vince Young win this game for the Titans. It won't happen. Giants by a touchdown.


Bills(+14.5) at Patriots


Dave: Bills - The Bills are, by far, the league's worst team but their pass defense is better than you think. Aaron Rodgers, leader of one of the best offensive attacks in football, didn't have a field day on this defense last week and Miami didn't do so hot the week before. The Patriots can't run the ball, which means the running game will be represented by dump-offs and screens. Will the Bills pull off the upset? Hell no. Could they keep it within two touchdowns by frustrating Tom Brady and his Bieber haircut? I think so. Pats by 13.


Gabe: Patriots - Once again the Bills are roughly a two touchdown dog this early in the season. They stink. They are on the road. Pats by 20.


Browns(+10.5) at Ravens


Dave: Ravens - Tough call here, not because I think Cleveland has a chance, but because I don't know if this Ravens offense has it in them to score more than 10 points. You would like to think if Baltimore's offense is going to come alive, it will be against a terrible Browns team that will be trotting out Seneca Wallace once again. The Ravens D has to be able to scrounge up at least 14 points off Wallace miscues, right? I think this is the Joe Flacco coming out party we've been waiting on. Ravens by 17.


Gabe: Ravens - Cleveland stinks on defense. Cleveland stinks on offense. Baltimore is a complete team. Ray Rice will run all over the Browns and the Ravens defense will shut down the Browns offense. Ravens by 14.


Steelers(-3) at Bucs


Dave: Steelers - Closest thing to a lock pretty much all season. I won't even go further into the details. Steelers by 13.


Gabe: Steelers - The Steelers defense is going to be too much for the Bucs and their young offense. Way too much. Steelers by double digits.


Bengals(-3) at Panthers


Dave: Bengals - I take it back. THIS is the closest thing to a lock pretty much all season. Honestly, you had me at "Panthers starting QB Jimmy Clausen".


Gabe: Bengals - The Cincy defense is probably going to come up with something like seven turnovers. They'll be able to focus on the Panthers stout running game. They'll welcome Jimmy Clausen to the NFL and go home with a double digit win.


Falcons(+3) at Saints


Dave: Saints - I'm not sure if the Falcons are good, the Saints are average or a combination of the two, but I can see Drew Brees exploiting this Falcons secondary enough to be at least two field goals better than Atlanta.


Gabe: Falcons - Fact: The Falcons have allowed only two offensive touchdowns all season. People are sleeping on the Dirty Birds. They will see this as a statement game and I'm calling for the outright win in my....wait for it....Upset Special!!


49ers(-3) at Chiefs


Dave: Chiefs - Kansas City continues to make me look good for picking them to win the West. Niners are coming off a short week and will have to deal with a super-rowdy Arrowhead crowd. Chiefs pull off another upset with a Gabourey Sidibe-ugly 3-point win.


Gabe: 49ers - San Fran can't be as bad as their record, and the Chiefs can't be as good. I think the Niners will bounce back with this game. Look for Gore to have another good game. The Niners went toe-to-toe with the Champs and they'll get the best of KC. Niners by a touchdown.


Lions(+12) at Vikings


Dave: Lions - The Lions, with Shaun Hill at QB, made it a game against Philly last week. Yes, Minnesota's a little bit better than the Eagles, but not enough to make me think they deserve a double-digit spread over Detroit. Favre looks like he wants to retire now and not getting Vincent Jackson will only look worse after Favre floats a couple into double coverage. Vikes by 9.


Gabe: Lions - Twelve is WAY too many points. The Vikings are stumbling. They have A.P., but have few weapons in the passing game right now. The Lions are playing well. This is a division game so it will be heated. Minny by 8.


Cowboys(+2.5) at Texans


Dave: Texans - I knew the Cowboys would disappoint, even as Dallas diehards told me I was crazy. Houston probably shouldn't have won that one last week as Gary Kubiak put on his best Andy Reid brainfart impression. Still, Houston's always had Dallas' number and I can slowly see the wheels come off the Cowboys' bandwagon. Texans by a field goal.


Gabe: Texans - I'm predicting a shootout. The Texans have all the weapons on offense and the Cowboys want to be flashy. For some reason the Cowboys refuse to play boring football, which is exactly what they should be doing. Marion Barber, Felix Jones, Tashard Choice....this should be running team. The point is, they aren't. They are going to try to slug with Houston and are going to come up short. Houston by a touchdown.


Redskins(-4) at Rams


Dave: Redskins - Almost too easy of a pick. Redskins considerably better than the team that barely beat St. Louis last year, even with Albert Haynesworth begging to be traded. McNabb unloads here, Skins by 14.


Gabe: Redskins - This is typically the type of game the Redskins lose. I don't see Shanny letting that happen. Skins by 10.


Eagles(-3) at Jaguars


Dave: Eagles - Don't get it twisted. Andy Reid opting for Mike Vick over Kevin Kolb has more to do with saving his job than making the right call. We all know Reid isn't a smart man, so let's end the hand-ringing right about now. Vick is going to run for days on Jacksonville because Jax doesn't have enough pass rush to make Vick The Quick sweat. The only hope of covering for the Jags is if Philly's D collapses like it did against Detroit last week. Eagles by 10.

Gabe: Eagles - Michael Vick is back. I don't think the Philly defense collapses again. Eagles by 10+.


Colts(-5.5) at Broncos


Dave: Colts - Champ Bailey and Andre Goodman are hobbled for the Broncos secondary, which isn't a good look when Manning is hunting down MVP # 5. This one will be closer than you think, but I still like Indy by 6.


Gabe: Colts - The Broncos have injury issues in the defensive backfield. They are starting garbage at running back. Peyton Manning is going to perform surgery on this defense. Colts win huge.


Chargers(-4.5) at Seahawks


Dave: Chargers - Any sleeper buzz I was feeling around Seattle got brushed off when Denver blew the Seahawks' doors off last week. Sure, you can't make a judgement on a team based off one game and San Diego will be without Ryan Mathews, so Seattle could stay in this one, but I'll take my chances on the Chargers here.


Gabe: Chargers - The Seahawks suck. The Chargers are talented. Darren Sproles and Mike Tolbert fill nicely for Ryan Mathews. San Diego by 7.


Raiders(+4.5) at Cardinals


Dave: Raiders - Two things I believe: 1. I believe the Cardinals suck out loud. 2. I believe in Bruce Gradkowski. Nnamdi Asomugha shuts down Larry Fitzgerald and the Cardinals trot out Max Hall by halftime. Raiders with the upset here.


Gabe: Raiders - Maybe the Cardinals do suck and are not the second best team in the division as I predicted. Gradkowski is going to be good for the Raiders. Raiders win a tight one by a late field goal.


Jets(+2.5) at Dolphins


Dave: Dolphins - No Revis to shut down Marshall. No Edwards to make up for a stumbling offense. Dolphins are a very good team defensively. If this isn't going to be one of the most unwatchable Sunday night games in a long time, I don't know what is. Dolphins by 7 in an ugly one.


Gabe: Jets - Braylon Edwards won't miss more than a play. I think the Jets defense is going to step up. The rest of the offense rallies and they win by 3.


Packers(-3) at Bears


Dave: Packers - I'm treading very carefully here by picking my boys. For one, Chris Williams is out for Chicago, which means an already bad Bears offensive line is down one in its efforts to stop "The Ultimate Warrior" Clay Matthews Jr. Chicago's pass rush does scare me here, but I can see Jay Cutler throwing enough picks(like he did in the opener last year against Green Bay) to offset any stops Chicago's D makes. Aaron Rodgers smells first place and I do, too. Packers by 9.

Gabe: Packers - The Bears played well last week, but this is a division game on Monday Night. That might be just a little too much pressure for Jay Cutler and his fragile head. They'll fall back to earth and the Pack wins by 10.

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